Atlético Concepción vs Comercio Central Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COM
2 - 2
ATL
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
JUC
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Comercio Central Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CCU
0 - 1
CAG
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 0
CCU
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CSC
3 - 3
CCU
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CCU
0 - 2
AGU
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CCU
0 - 1
COM
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |