Atl. Chiriquí vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
CHE
37%
30%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 3
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
SMI
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 2
SMI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |