Atl. Astorga vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
AST
2 - 0
MED
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
VAL
3 - 2
AST
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
AST
2 - 3
AVI
31%
28%
41%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CFP
3 - 0
AST
78%
16%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
AST
1 - 2
LER
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
CUL
0 - 0
TOR
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 4
ZAM
28%
28%
44%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CAB
1 - 2
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
MED
1 - 1
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAL
31%
28%
41%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |