Atl. Astorga vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CUL
2 - 2
AST
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
AST
4 - 0
VDB
83%
12%
4%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BÉJ
2 - 1
AST
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
AST
3 - 0
CDU
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SAL
6 - 0
AST
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 2
PON
19%
28%
53%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
CDG
1 - 0
TOR
59%
24%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 4
LEO
24%
27%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
ACF
2 - 0
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 0
CFB
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |