Atl. Astorga vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AVI
3 - 1
AST
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OVI
2 - 0
AST
70%
19%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AST
0 - 2
SOM
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
AST
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 2
MUR
13%
25%
62%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UPL
1 - 1
BUR
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEA
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
BUR
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
CEL
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |