Atlantico vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
2º
21
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 2
AFC
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
MOC
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 0
AVR
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 1
AVR
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
AVR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |