Athletic vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 4
ATH
37%
22%
42%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
7 - 5
FCB
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 4
ATH
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
RAC
3 - 0
ATH
40%
22%
39%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
HER
5 - 1
ZAR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BET
4 - 3
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
HER
4 - 1
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
VCF
2 - 1
HER
55%
20%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |