Athletic vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.3%
Win probability
4.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.4%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.1%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.7%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.6%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
4.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATH
39%
22%
40%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
BET
1 - 2
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ATH
4 - 2
OVI
79%
12%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
HER
72%
14%
13%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
HER
1 - 0
OVI
30%
20%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
BET
35%
22%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
HER
1 - 0
OSA
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
RMA
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |