Atarfe Industrial vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
ATA
49%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 0
JUV
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATA
1 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
ATA
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |