Atalanta vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 5
TOR
57%
26%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 1
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 2
JUV
22%
27%
52%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SIE
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
INT
0 - 2
SIE
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 2
UDI
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |