Atalanta vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
QPR
1 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
HHA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
CTT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CTT
15 - 0
POT
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
NAP
5 - 1
CTT
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
CTT
62%
24%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 2
PRG
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |