At. Sanluqueño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AGU
2 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
REC
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
VVA
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MON
0 - 0
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
VVA
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
JER
1 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUC
1 - 1
RLI
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
UDT
0 - 3
LUC
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |