At. Sanluqueño vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
REC
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAB
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASJ
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
SRO
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
CEU
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
ALC
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 4
SEV
58%
23%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 1
ALC
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |