Atlético Madrileño vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
IMP
2 - 0
ATB
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATB
2 - 1
ALF
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
ATB
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATB
2 - 0
VEC
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
PPJ
1 - 1
ATB
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
LEG
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
2 - 2
LOR
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 2
LOR
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |