Atlético Arsenal vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
88.2%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.8%
0-4
10.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.6%
0-5
6.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.9%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
ORI
1 - 0
COL
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DEP
3 - 0
ORI
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
ART
1 - 2
ORI
15%
25%
61%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ORI
1 - 1
UMO
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
ORI
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |