ASWH vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HOE
2 - 1
ASW
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ASW
2 - 3
STE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 2
ASW
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ASW
1 - 0
ONS
65%
18%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
USV
0 - 4
ASW
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VVO
2 - 1
DOV
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 1
VVO
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VVO
2 - 1
LIS
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
EEM
0 - 1
VVO
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
VVO
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |