Aswan SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
18º
16º
33
2º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aswan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASW
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 1
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ASW
2 - 2
MSC
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KIM
1 - 2
ASW
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
ISM
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MOK
1 - 1
GHA
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PHA
1 - 1
GHA
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 0
MIS
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |