Astur vs Muros Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
AST
1 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 1
AST
37%
25%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
NAL
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
AST
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AST
1 - 4
RAY
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Muros Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
4 - 1
MUR
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
ROC
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 0
TUR
51%
21%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |