Asker vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
3º
1º
46
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 1
ASK
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AIF
3 - 8
ASK
9%
15%
76%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 6
ASK
11%
16%
74%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
IFL
88%
8%
4%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
15%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 2
BAR
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 3
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 5
BAR
14%
17%
70%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
AIF
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |