Vastese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
ASD
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASD
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
MAT
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAS
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |