Troina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASD
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
LIC
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASD
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
3 - 1
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
MES
4 - 1
REN
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
SMC
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
DAT
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |