Spezia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
BIE
0 - 0
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SPE
3 - 0
VAO
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SET
3 - 1
SPE
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPE
3 - 1
SES
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FCL
0 - 1
SPE
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USR
0 - 0
ACD
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 0
LAV
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
ACD
15%
24%
62%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CUN
1 - 1
ACD
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |