Spezia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPE
37%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 3
CAG
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
5 - 1
SPE
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACD
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 2
SAL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
PRG
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |