Spezia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 2
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |