Spezia vs Modena analysis

Spezia Modena
71 ELO 72
3.1% Tilt -14.6%
184º General ELO ranking 469º
25º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
43.1%
Spezia
26.7%
Draw
30.3%
Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
Spezia
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.3%
Win probability
Modena
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Spezia
Modena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2015
CAR
AC Carpi
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
54%
26%
21%
71 73 2 0
07 Feb. 2015
ACD
Virtus Entella
2 - 0
Spezia
SPE
30%
29%
42%
71 62 9 0
02 Feb. 2015
SPE
Spezia
0 - 1
Avellino
AVE
53%
25%
22%
72 69 3 -1
24 Jan. 2015
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 1
Spezia
SPE
48%
27%
25%
72 71 1 0
17 Jan. 2015
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Varese
VAR
56%
24%
20%
73 67 6 -1

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2015
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
34%
28%
39%
74 67 7 0
31 Jan. 2015
LEO
Pro Vercelli
1 - 1
Modena
MOD
26%
28%
45%
74 66 8 0
25 Jan. 2015
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
50%
27%
24%
74 71 3 0
17 Jan. 2015
CTT
Cittadella
1 - 1
Modena
MOD
28%
27%
46%
75 64 11 -1
28 Dec. 2014
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
Latina
LAT
60%
25%
15%
74 66 8 +1