Spezia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACD
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |