Spezia vs Brescia analysis

Spezia Brescia
75 ELO 67
-4.9% Tilt -10.3%
184º General ELO ranking 461º
25º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Spezia
25%
Draw
21.5%
Brescia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
Spezia
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
Brescia
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia
+3%
-3%
Brescia

ELO progression

Spezia
Brescia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2016
LAT
Latina
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
29%
29%
43%
75 65 10 0
23 Apr. 2016
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 3
Spezia
SPE
30%
29%
40%
74 66 8 +1
19 Apr. 2016
SPE
Spezia
0 - 1
Pescara
PES
44%
26%
31%
74 72 2 0
15 Apr. 2016
CRO
Crotone
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
48%
26%
26%
74 76 2 0
09 Apr. 2016
SPE
Spezia
1 - 0
Novara
NOV
50%
26%
24%
74 71 3 0

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2016
BRE
Brescia
0 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
56%
24%
20%
68 65 3 0
23 Apr. 2016
PES
Pescara
2 - 1
Brescia
BRE
55%
24%
22%
69 73 4 -1
19 Apr. 2016
BRE
Brescia
2 - 0
Virtus Entella
ACD
49%
27%
25%
68 69 1 +1
16 Apr. 2016
CAG
Cagliari
6 - 0
Brescia
BRE
68%
19%
13%
68 79 11 0
11 Apr. 2016
BRE
Brescia
2 - 2
Perugia
PRG
48%
27%
25%
68 71 3 0