Spezia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
COM
4 - 0
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 3
SPE
30%
29%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
PES
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 3
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASC
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 3
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 1
BAR
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |