Real Metapontino vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
ARM
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
REA
3 - 1
ARM
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
TAR
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
ARM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAT
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
HYR
2 - 1
REA
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HYR
0 - 2
TAR
14%
22%
65%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
HYR
0 - 2
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
HYR
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
GLA
0 - 0
HYR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |