Matese vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PIN
0 - 0
MAT
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAT
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 1
SSS
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UST
2 - 1
MAT
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
FAN
28%
27%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |