Matese vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
MAT
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 0
MAT
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
MAT
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
CYN
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 1
VAS
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAS
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
3 - 0
VAS
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
OLY
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |