Castelnuovo Vomano vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
CYN
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAT
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
ASD
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASD
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |