Ascona vs SC Zofingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
0
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
BUO
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Zofingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
ZOF
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
BRU
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
ZOF
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 0
FCC
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
ZOF
40%
22%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |