Ascoli vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
LAT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASC
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
PRG
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 1
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRA
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
ACD
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 1
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TER
3 - 0
ACD
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
LEO
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |