Åsane vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
10º
16º
13º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Åsane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 0
RAN
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 1
ASA
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
HOD
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 3
ASA
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 1
RAU
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FFK
3 - 0
RAU
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 2
FFK
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 1
SOG
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 2
FFK
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 0
HOD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |