Varese vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
JUS
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 5
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
VIR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
GEN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |