Varese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
NAP
5 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
53%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
VER
1 - 0
PAD
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
PAD
2 - 2
GEN
53%
27%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |