Varese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
JUS
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 5
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
LEC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |