Possession vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Possession
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SRS
0 - 2
ASP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 1
PIE
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
JEA
0 - 0
ASP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ASP
1 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 1
ASP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDF
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
3 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
PIE
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |