Possession vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Possession
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 1
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 1
JEA
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SDF
1 - 1
ASP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 1
PET
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 0
SRS
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TAM
50%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
PIE
49%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JEA
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |