As Pontes vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LEM
1 - 0
ASP
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ASP
1 - 1
ARO
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARE
0 - 1
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ACF
6 - 0
ASP
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ASP
2 - 0
FOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LUG
2 - 2
ACF
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FOZ
0 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
LUG
0 - 0
COM
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
CEL
0 - 2
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHO
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |