As Pontes vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
PON
0 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ASP
1 - 0
OGR
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
POR
3 - 2
ASP
46%
27%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ASP
2 - 1
XOV
55%
25%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GON
2 - 0
ASP
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
1 - 2
BOU
78%
14%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
PON
0 - 2
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CEL
3 - 0
OGR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
POR
0 - 1
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |