Performance vs Duguwolofila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Performance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
TOM
0 - 1
ASP
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASB
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAK
1 - 0
ASP
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 4
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Duguwolofila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
DUG
1 - 2
POL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
ASR
2 - 1
DUG
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
DUG
3 - 0
MAM
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
DUG
1 - 1
DJO
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
LAF
0 - 1
DUG
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |