Performance vs As Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Performance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAK
1 - 0
ASP
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 4
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
POL
1 - 0
ASP
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASR
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
As Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASB
0 - 0
POL
33%
31%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ASR
0 - 0
ASB
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASB
1 - 0
MAM
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
LAF
2 - 1
ASB
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ASB
1 - 2
DJO
20%
30%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |