Mirebalais vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
32.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 2
ASM
39%
33%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
ASM
44%
32%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GON
0 - 1
ASM
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIO
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
BAL
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAP
39%
32%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
0 - 0
BAL
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
VAL
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |