Melfi vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASM
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
MES
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
USF
2 - 3
FON
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
USF
12%
20%
67%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
USF
1 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |