Melfi vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
3 - 3
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOR
1 - 3
MES
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TUT
0 - 2
SOR
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
USF
3 - 2
SOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SOR
2 - 3
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |