Melfi vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
ACI
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
EBO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
31%
27%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 2
PRG
21%
27%
52%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 1
FCC
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 1
RAA
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 2
GIU
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
RAA
42%
28%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -4 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |