Melfi vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
4 - 0
FON
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
ASM
26%
27%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 2
ASM
61%
21%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
BOR
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 1
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASD
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |