Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
POM
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 2
NEA
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 2
ASM
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 1
VIG
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
TRA
17%
25%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
POM
1 - 2
FCC
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACI
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 1
FCC
52%
25%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
BRI
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |